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The Scenario

Most signal services send you a ticker and a direction. That’s not enough to act on: you can’t tell whether it’s a high-probability setup or a lottery ticket, and you can’t check the reasoning. Thorp signals arrive with the trigger that fired them, the historical hit rate, the risk-to-reward, and, for event-driven signals, the chain of confirmations that had to pass before it was sent. You can disagree with a signal, but you can always see what it was built on.

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Try It

  • Add BNB to my Thorp watchlist and push me technical signals
  • Why did you push that signal? Show me the evidence chain

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What You Get Back

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A technical signal, honestly labelled

This one comes from your watchlist on its own, without a prompt:
D0: BNB on your watchlist just printed a 4H MACD death-cross short signal 👀
🍩 BNB · Short · 4H
Technical trigger
  • 4H MACD death cross: DIF −3.524 crosses below DEA −3.3681
  • Histogram −0.1559, turning down, short-term bearish
🎯 Entry $586.75 → Target $546.07 (≈ −6.9%)
🛑 Stop $607.09 · R/R ≈ 1:2
📊 30d hit 22.7% · avg −1.3% · 22 trades
→ A low-win-rate, high-payoff “odds-type” setup
[View details] [Short in one tap] [Ignore]
A 22.7% hit rate looks bad on its own, but at 1:2 R/R, losing three trades out of four and winning the fourth still works out. The engine pushes these deliberately and labels them as odds-type. A feed that only ever showed high win rates would be hiding the trades that pay.

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An event-driven signal, with its confirmations

D0: 🗞️ Thorp signal: ZEC news-driven short
Tier 1: news capture
  • Bearish ZEC news detected: security research disclosed a potential protocol vulnerability; social concern building
  • News sentiment: 81% negative, spreading fast
Tier 2: on-chain / order-book validation
  • ✅ ZEC perp OI rising + funding turned negative, shorts entering
  • ✅ Exchange net inflows rising (potential sell pressure)
Tier 3: execution & result
  • Shorted at $432 → now $415.15 (−3.9%)
  • 3x leverage · short unrealized ≈ +11.7%
  • TP −8% / SL +5%
🎯 News + on-chain double confirmation passed
⚠️ Bearish news must be cross-verified; size carefully, not financial advice
[View details] [View evidence chain]
Nothing gets pushed on the news alone. The story has to be corroborated by positioning and flow data before it becomes a signal, which is why the tiers are numbered in the message.
Hit rates, average returns, sample sizes, and PnL figures in these examples are sample output from a specific moment, shown to illustrate the format. They are not performance claims or predictions, and a signal clearing the engine’s filter is not a recommendation to take it.

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When to Use

  • Coins you hold but can’t watch: put them on the watchlist and let the technical scan run.
  • When you want entry, target, stop, and R/R in one message.
  • Event-driven trading: news breaks constantly, and only some of it shows up in positioning. The double-confirmation filter checks for that.
  • Auditing your own read: ask for the evidence chain and compare it with your reasoning.

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Tips

  • Judge hit rate and R/R together; neither number means anything alone. A 70% hit rate at 1:0.3 is a losing system.
  • Ask before you act. "Why did you push that signal?" returns the full chain, including what nearly disqualified it.
  • Keep the watchlist short. Signal quality drops when the list is long, because the engine has more chances to find something marginal.
  • Set your own size. One-tap execution still takes your size and leverage. See Risk Controls for caps.
  • Skip freely. Ignoring signals is the normal case.