Prediction Markets

D0 connects to Polymarket (the world's largest prediction market) plus AI price prediction models from Allora and DFlow. You can browse events, spot mispriced markets, place bets, and detect suspicious trading activity — all from Telegram.

What Are Prediction Markets?

Prediction markets let you bet real money on real-world outcomes. Will the Fed cut rates in June? Will Bitcoin hit $150K by December? Will a specific team win the championship?

You buy shares representing "Yes" or "No" on an event. If you're right, each share pays out $1. If you're wrong, you lose what you paid. The current price of Yes shares shows what the market thinks the probability is — if Yes shares cost 68¢, the market is pricing in a 68% chance the event happens.

Browse & Analyze Markets

Your bot can search for events, find mispriced markets, and spot betting edges.

Search for events

Ask your bot to find markets on any topic — crypto milestones, politics, sports, Fed decisions, tech events.

Any Fed rate cut markets worth trading?

Bot: "Found 3 active Fed rate markets on Polymarket:

1. Fed cuts rates in June 2026? Yes: 72¢ | No: 28¢ | Volume: $1.8M
2. Fed cuts by 50+ bps before August? Yes: 15¢ | No: 85¢ | Volume: $420K
3. Fed holds rates at 5.25% through Q2? Yes: 35¢ | No: 65¢ | Volume: $890K

Based on recent FOMC statements and CPI trends, market #2 looks underpriced — consensus expects a slower pace."

Your bot doesn't just list events. It checks liquidity (can you actually get in and out?) and flags whether there is an obvious edge based on what it knows about the topic.

Mispricing detection

Your bot compares what it thinks the probability should be (based on available data and reasoning) versus what Polymarket is pricing in. When there is a gap, that is a potential edge.

Find mispriced Polymarket events

Bot: "Scanning for mispriced events...

Potential edge found: Event: Will Ethereum ETF launch before June 2026? Current odds: Yes 45¢ | No 55¢ My assessment: ~65% probability based on SEC timeline + industry signals Implied edge: +20% if you buy Yes Volume: $1.2M (liquid)

This suggests the market is underpricing the likelihood. Recent SEC filings and comments from commissioners indicate approval is more likely than the current odds suggest."

This doesn't guarantee you'll win — markets can stay wrong, or your bot's assessment could be off. But it identifies where there is potential value based on available information.

Sports betting edge

Polymarket runs sports betting markets too. Your bot compares Polymarket odds against traditional sportsbooks (Bet365, Pinnacle, etc.) to find where Polymarket is mispriced.

Any EPL matches with betting edge?

Bot: "Edge detected: Arsenal vs Chelsea this weekend Polymarket: Arsenal -120 | Chelsea +145 Pinnacle: Arsenal -135 | Chelsea +130

Polymarket is offering better odds on Chelsea by ~15 basis points. If you think Chelsea has a shot, Polymarket is the better line."

Traditional sportsbooks are extremely efficient, so when Polymarket diverges significantly it is worth paying attention.

AI Price Predictions

Your bot pulls forecasts from decentralized AI models to help inform your trading decisions.

AI price prediction consensus across Allora and DFlow.

Allora + DFlow AI forecasts

Allora Network runs 23 active AI models that predict crypto prices. Your bot checks the consensus forecast and shows you confidence intervals and where models disagree.

What does AI predict for BTC in 8 hours?

Bot: "Allora AI Prediction (8h forecast): BTC predicted price: $98,200 (+1.2% from current $96,850) Confidence: Medium Model consensus: 18/23 models agree within ±1% Outliers: 3 models predicting $99,500+, 2 predicting $96,000-"

Use these forecasts as one signal among many — never the only thing you base a trade on.

Things to Know

• Polymarket settles in USDC on Polygon. You need USDC on Polygon to trade. D0 can bridge it for you (see Cross-Chain Swap).
• Liquidity matters. A market with $5K volume can move 10% on a small bet. Check the volume column before sizing in.
• AI forecasts are not financial advice. They are signal, not certainty. Combine them with your own analysis.